Coronavirus Thread (Off Topic, Politics) (86 Viewers)

[wingy]

If Labour wants/wanted to get elected it would be someone like her and tbh a female would be a good move IMO in spite of the nutty reversion to male populists.
Pragmatic wins the day for me.

 

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[wingy]

12.8k cases today , calling it now national lock down in November.

What are the ONS number's like usually 2-3 times those tested?
Half term extended might be more fruitful and less disruptive.

 

[Kieranp96]

What are the ONS number's like usually 2-3 times those tested?
Half term extended might be more fruitful and less disruptive.

I can't wrap my head around there fancy wording best to look yourself .

 

[wingy]

It doesn't tally with R rate falling like that study suggested the other day.

 

[David O'Day]

12.8k cases today , calling it now national lock down in November.

Fucking hell leys hope its an outlier or therfe are awful times to come.

Sent from my SM-G975F using Tapatalk

 

[CCFCSteve]

It doesn't tally with R rate falling like that study suggested the other day.

Its weird. I’ll always try to play devils advocate but a ‘technical issue’ is not good enough in the current climate. Will keep an eye on hospital admissions etc but it feels to me that the numbers weren’t fitting with the narrative (hence a massive delay in releasing)

 

[wingy]

Ah i

Its weird. I’ll always try to play devils advocate but a ‘technical issue’ is not good enough in the current climate. Will keep an eye on hospital admissions etc but it feels to me that the numbers weren’t fitting with the narrative (hence a massive delay in releasing)

Ah is that what it is,a revision,catch up of delayed info?
Hope so.

 

[Sky Blue Pete]

Ah i

Ah is that what it is,a revision,catch up of delayed info?
Hope so.

That’s what bbc news just said. France figures not good

 

[Kieranp96]

Thank fuck it was a backlog, 12k cases would of been a massive jump and worry, although I do belive we will be up with France and Spain soon enough.

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

Thank fuck it was a backlog, 12k cases would of been a massive jump and worry, although I do belive we will be up with France and Spain soon enough.

As long as schools are open en masse it’ll keep happening

 

[David O'Day]

there's been "backlogs" before and the data stays at the same level.

 

[David O'Day]

if it is just a backlog that would also mean that previous days awful figures are even worse

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

Two latest polls have Labour and Tories tied at 39%

 

[Sick Boy]

Cases above 2,000 here yesterday and it looks like masks will have to be worn at all times in public or on the spot fines of around €500. Already been rolled out in Rome but expected to be announced nationwide in the coming days.

 

[chiefdave]

Interesting article looking at why some outbreaks are much larger than others. Obviously just one persons opinion but worth a read.

This Overlooked Variable Is the Key to the Pandemic

It’s not R.

www.theatlantic.com

 

[CCFCSteve]

Interesting article looking at why some outbreaks are much larger than others. Obviously just one persons opinion but worth a read.

This Overlooked Variable Is the Key to the Pandemic

It’s not R.

www.theatlantic.com

Really interesting article, thanks Dave (bit of a tough read after a heavy Saturday night but stuck with it !)

hope our senior science bods have read it !

ps if correct, is also why crowds should be able to go back to outdoor sporting events

 

[shmmeee]

Interesting article looking at why some outbreaks are much larger than others. Obviously just one persons opinion but worth a read.

This Overlooked Variable Is the Key to the Pandemic

It’s not R.

www.theatlantic.com

Interesting. Though without an actual world class track and trace system I don’t see how the measures would be different. We still don’t know what determines who will be a superspreader unless I missed it in the article.

 

[clint van damme]

anyone heard from Dom? He sounded a bit down last time he was posting. Hope he's OK.

 

[skybluetony176]

anyone heard from Dom? He sounded a bit down last time he was posting. Hope he's OK.

Was wondering the same. Hope he’s okay.

 

[Sky_Blue_Dreamer]

Interesting article looking at why some outbreaks are much larger than others. Obviously just one persons opinion but worth a read.

This Overlooked Variable Is the Key to the Pandemic

It’s not R.

www.theatlantic.com

Interesting. Same principle could be applied economically - using the mean average when the important bits are small clusters like the very rich and very poor.

 

[Sky Blue Pete]

Why no figures again

 

[Ian1779]

Why no figures again

Haven’t had the time to manipulate them obviously.

 

[Ian1779]

Is this legit?

EDIT - So apparently it contains 15000 cases missing from the data between 25/09 and 02/10

 

[David O'Day]

View attachment 17147
Is this legit?

Yeah after 15k of "backlog" from the period between the 25th of sept and the 2nd of oct that weren't reported.

 

[Johnnythespider]

What does this do to the doubling every 7 days scenario Vallance spoke about

 

[Ian1779]

Yeah after 15k of "backlog" from the period between the 25th of sept and the 2nd of oct that weren't reported.

So still getting 7.5K on a Sunday.

 

[Skybluefaz]

Bit worrying really about the numbers. Looked like it was increasing much less than anticipated but it turns out the test and trace system is not as world beating as promised and boom. Here are the positive cases.

 

[David O'Day]

So still getting 7.5K on a Sunday.

yeah

 

[Ian1779]

Bit worrying really about the numbers. Looked like it was increasing much less than anticipated but it turns out the test and trace system is not as world beating as promised and boom. Here are the positive cases.

This is what happens when they decide what the story is first, then manipulate the stats to suit it.
We’re all being played for mugs here.

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

This is what happens when they decide what the story is first, then manipulate the stats to suit it.
We’re all being played for mugs here.

They have also now ‘leaked’ another policy to decide if it’s popular enough for implementing

 

[Skybluefaz]

They have also now ‘leaked’ another policy to decide if it’s popular enough for implementing

What now?

 

[David O'Day]

They have also now ‘leaked’ another policy to decide if it’s popular enough for implementing

Do you mean this one?

Leak reveals possible harsher three-tier England Covid plan

Exclusive: government documents suggest potential pub closures and stricter social contact rules

www.theguardian.com

worst thing is in that report it says the 15k "backlog" weren't transferred on to a computer adn weren't available to contact tracers

 

[Sky Blue Pete]

Covid: Care homes policies violated human rights, says Amnesty

Amnesty International calls for an inquiry, saying some residents were denied access to medical help.

www.bbc.co.uk

 

[robbiekeane]

Fucking hell leys hope its an outlier or therfe are awful times to come.

Sent from my SM-G975F using Tapatalk

Tbh though none of this data means shit really does it in terms of comparing it to what we’ve been used to, until they can show it as a % of tests taken? We automatically compare that to the numbers during the first wave but it’s apples with oranges

 

[The Lurker]

FYI - yesterday in walsgrave hospital 0 people in for Covid. Just to say that again. 0 in.