When was the last one term government?
Last election was the height of Labour navel gazing and the fourth they’d lost. The Tories haven’t even started yet.
The 1970s. Our electoral system has gone through alternating predominance where one party dominates for multiple terms.
If Starmer was genuinely popular, I’d 100% agree that the Tories are done for a generation. He isn’t and the electorate seem more intent on punishing the Tories (rightfully so) than enthusiasm for Starmer.
Things could change, none of us foreseen COVID or war in Ukraine before 2019… On the economy, Labour is already unable to rule out public expenditure cuts and failure to increase spending on public services will attract support on the left. On the traditional conservative priorities, crime and immigration, Labour lose support to Reform/Tory if these areas aren’t addressed.
My overall feeling is that the electorate is fed with how things are going and are willing to give Labour a chance but their patience is short with both major parties.