The goalkeepers (5 Viewers)

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
But that's the whole point of the xG stats - it takes everything else out and purely focuses on a goalkeeper's shot stopping performance.

Doesn't matter if he faces 1 shot a game or 100 shots a game and it doesn't matter if the attacker is unmarked 6 yards out or taking a shot from 30 yards. All of that is taken into account.

I'm not saying GK is the only issue, of course not, but with our leaky defence we need a solid keeper who saves more than they let in and with Collins that's not the case. We'd be much better off with say Johansson in goal behind this same shit defence.

Not necessarily the case. I’m a big fan of these data metrics but I’ll point out examples of how they’re not infallible.

Firstly, Collins had a better goals versus xgA than Johansson last season. In fact, Collins was a top 6 or thereabouts keeper last season. By this logic, Collins is good enough which is a view I don’t agree with anymore.

Secondly, Collins has been in goal for only a few games and that stat will be skewed by 3 goals specifically the second goals in the Sunderland, Burnley and Cardiff games. All long range shots (bar the Burnley goal) where the defence gave plenty of space for these shots to be well placed - all low xG chances leading to goals.
 

PVA

Well-Known Member
Not necessarily the case. I’m a big fan of these data metrics but I’ll point out examples of how they’re not infallible.

Firstly, Collins had a better goals versus xgA than Johansson last season. In fact, Collins was a top 6 or thereabouts keeper last season. By this logic, Collins is good enough which is a view I don’t agree with anymore.

Secondly, Collins has been in goal for only a few games and that stat will be skewed by 3 goals specifically the second goals in the Sunderland, Burnley and Cardiff games. All long range shots (bar the Burnley goal) where the defence gave plenty of space for these shots to be well placed - all low xG chances leading to goals.

I think you have possibly confused the difference between expected goals and post shot expected goals.

xG is irrelevant when judging a keeper, but PSxG is a direct judgement of a keepers shot stopping and has nothing to do with the defenders.
 
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Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
I think you have possibly confused the difference between expected goals and post shot expected goals.

xG is irrelevant when judging a keeper, but PSxG is a direct judgement of a keepers shot stopping and has nothing to do with the defenders.
It would help if you stated that you were going off PSxG. Presumably, PSxG would weight long range shots lower than close range ones so the logic behind my argument holds still.

In any case, Collins performed well on the PSxG metric last season his per 90 stat was marginally lower than Johansson’s as he played 16 less games and face a lot less shots than Rotherham!
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
Some of these are fairly standard saves, but not sure we'd have stopped that first one with Dovin, Wilson and Collins all stood in goal together




He did have a career year but a good goalkeeper will only add so much. Look at Johansson at Stoke, last season he conceded 89 goals and is considered a solid Championship goalkeeper.

Structurally, it’s our defence that has always been the problem since Feb. We can’t keep clean sheets and I think Collins was a scapegoat last season but we’ve been leaking goals even without him in goal.

It’s easy to look at the shots on target to goals conceded (xgA v goals conceded too) and conclude the GK is the issue. It’s not. There was several goals in this stretch where opposition players are finding themselves free in the box and that is the issue. How many free shots do we get 6-10 yards from goal?!

Collins deserves a bit of stick for Burnley’s first goal the other day, however, Sarimento shouldn’t be free in the box to have a point blank shot at goal if we defend properly. In that 22/23 season our defending in those areas was top notch, we never really lost headers in the box and we committed a lot of last ditch blocks.

We had defenders and a keeper who whatever their shortcomings looked like they’d rather die than let a goal in. Organised by an absolute warrior. We couldn’t be further from 22/23 defensively sadly.
It would help if you stated that you were going off PSxG. Presumably, PSxG would weight long range shots lower than close range ones so the logic behind my argument holds still.

In any case, Collins performed well on the PSxG metric last season his per 90 stat was marginally lower than Johansson’s as he played 16 less games and face a lot less shots than Rotherham!

that’s because long range shots are easier to save. All three you mention Collins could have done better on so it’s fair no?
 

Colin Steins Smile

Well-Known Member
IMO Collins weakness is his movement of his feet. Too many times he’s not moved his feet laterally enough before diving.
Dovin is better in that area, but all three keepers don’t command their box on crosses
 

SkyBlueMatt

Well-Known Member
Collins has faced 14 shots and conceded 8 goals. :ROFLMAO:

im-not-even-mad-thats-amazing.gif
 

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
We had defenders and a keeper who whatever their shortcomings looked like they’d rather die than let a goal in. Organised by an absolute warrior. We couldn’t be further from 22/23 defensively sadly.


that’s because long range shots are easier to save. All three you mention Collins could have done better on so it’s fair no?
Not really, that’s an assumption. There are some long shots that you have no chance of saving if they’re powerful and well placed. Cardiff’s shot was well placed at the weekend and Sunderland’s 2nd goal was a great shot. I didn’t expect the GK to save them necessarily.
 

TewkesburySkyBlue

Well-Known Member
Not necessarily the case. I’m a big fan of these data metrics but I’ll point out examples of how they’re not infallible.

Firstly, Collins had a better goals versus xgA than Johansson last season. In fact, Collins was a top 6 or thereabouts keeper last season. By this logic, Collins is good enough which is a view I don’t agree with anymore.

Secondly, Collins has been in goal for only a few games and that stat will be skewed by 3 goals specifically the second goals in the Sunderland, Burnley and Cardiff games. All long range shots (bar the Burnley goal) where the defence gave plenty of space for these shots to be well placed - all low xG chances leading to goals.
Lies ,damn lies and statistics
 

SkyBlue_Bear83

Well-Known Member
Slightly below average.

Couldn't fit all the keepers on one screen to get low enough to show Collins and Wilson 😅 there are 3 more at the top not shown, including Johansson who would have been my pick for a new keeper in the summer.

View attachment 39955
I think all this shows that in January we should buy a fourth first choice goalkeeper and continue to neglect centre midfield
 
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shepardo01

Well-Known Member
The stats are horrendous.

Sheff United had 2 shots on target we conceded 2 goals!
Burnley had 3 shots on target, we conceded 2 goals.
Cardiff had 4 shots on target and we conceded another 2 goals.

I don’t believe Collins deserves another start. If he starts against Millwall then what would it say about the way the others are performing in training…..
Derby had one shot on target - we conceded two goals!!!!!
 

quinn1971

Well-Known Member
Don’t get why Collins is getting stick after Saturday , 2 goals he could do nothing about, ? We had a golden glove winner and that wasn’t good enough for some fans, dovins a kid, put him this team at the minute and it could ruin him, if anything I’d put Wilson back in, more vocal than Collins, but can’t keep Changing keepers, no wonder theyve got no confidence
 

Badge72

Well-Known Member
All three are poor and not championship standard. The defence are over compensating for their incompetence, lack of direction and vocals. Obvious from inability to catch a ball, command the area and take a cross. Three things that are not directly the defender’s responsibility.
 

quinn1971

Well-Known Member
All three are poor and not championship standard. The defence are over compensating for their incompetence, lack of direction and vocals. Obvious from inability to catch a ball, command the area and take a cross. Three things that are not directly the defender’s responsibility.
Last season we went on a very good run. Conceded 4 goals in 10 games including, Leeds, Southampton, mboro and Sunderland, defence for all those games was Collins, mve, kitching, Thomas, bidwell, they were good enough last season ? We played a back four, maybe back to basics instead of messing about with formations, frank will work it out
 
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rob9872

Well-Known Member
Can any of them throw a kettle over a pub?
 

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