When they secured a draw way at Gillingham a fortnight ago, Wycombe were unbeaten in five and would’ve thus been feeling confident. Such a run should’ve given the Chairboys a platform from which to build on over the busy period, though they’ve since gone the other way and have now failed to pick up a single point from three on the bounce. Gareth Ainsworth will be hoping that this return to Adams Park will spark a return to winning ways.
Wycombe come into this match having done well at home in recent weeks. They were beaten by Wimbledon last time out, but they’d won six on the bounce in front of a home crowd prior to that. However, while results have largely been pleasing at Adams Park, it’s probably fair to say that Ainsworth’s men have ridden their luck at times. They’ve not been outplayed all that often, though many of those victories came in tight games that could’ve gone either way.
The fact that Wycombe are averaging just 1.27 expected goals for at home suggests that they’re not the most creative in the final third, while the fact that they currently have an average expected goal difference of -0.13 at home shows that they’re not the best at creating more than they give away, which is something that Coventry haven’t been too bad at on their travels.
Over the Christmas period, Coventry treated their fans to two deserved home wins, home wins that arrived at the right time after some disappointing losses. On the face of it, Coventry have struggled on the road of late, but they’ve done a bit better than results would have us believe. In terms of expected goals, Tuesday’s visitors have bettered their opponents in three of their last five on the road, while they also boast a pleasing average expected goal difference of +0.29.
Having beaten the likes of Southend, Bradford, Charlton and Oxford away from home this season, the visitors should go into this game feeling confident. After all, it is they who come here in good form.
Wycombe are not to be underestimated at home, but it’s easy to feel that they’re a bit too short in the betting ahead of this match. While they’re rarely battered, they’re figures on home soil aren’t overly impressive and they’ve not really done enough in recent matches to warrant clear favouritism ahead of a match against a tough Coventry side. The Sky Blues rank above Wycombe in several areas and at the prices, backing the visitors, who boast a better average expected goal difference on the road than Wycombe do at home, on the ‘Draw No Bet’ market stands out.
Wycombe Wanderers vs Coventry Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews
