Sky_Blue_Dreamer
Well-Known Member
Conveniently leaves out tories who got 9% and takes brexit parties to 44%. Add Labour also and you have actually nearer 60% to leave the EU. Tories and Labour both are on current manifestos of leave the EU and it’s CU and SM if I remembered 2017 general election correctly.
Listen the truth is no one in major numbers has changed their mind and the result would be roughly the same again if a referendum was held tomorrow. The problem is turnout would be no where near as high at 33m people and you have actually a lot of remainers accept the democratic result. This is why they are not pushing for remain and leave in a second referendum instead they are trying remain or Mays deal. Give no genuine leave option and remain will win.
I really don't think you can lump all the tories or labour in as Brexit parties just because their 2017 manifestos supported Brexit. Their previous ones from just a couple of years before that had both party policies as hardcore remain. Main reason they were pro-Brexit was due to political consultants telling them any other stance would be picked up on as being anti-democratic by the extreme parties.
Tories are still massively divided, hence why none of the deals or options have been voted through. Labour is also divided but largely due to Jeremy being pro-leave but most of the rest being pro-remain. So they've just sat on their hands and not declared either way as each is afraid of upsetting the other.
But if you want to add them in lets do the analysis:
Four pro-Brexit parties:
2014-19 change
Brexit +30.5% +29 seats
UKIP -23.4% -24 seats
Tory -14.3% -15 seats
Labour -10.7% -10 seats
Overall: -17.9% vote -20 seats
So of the four parties you consider to be 'Brexit favouring', 3 got an absolute pasting and have lost over a quarter of the UK seats in the EU parliament since the last election to ones favourable to Remain.
If you look at the raw 2019 data it suggests the divide between leave and remain is still largely equal, but the trends since the last election show that there is a shift towards remain