Coronavirus Thread (Off Topic, Politics) (44 Viewers)

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
Given even with a booster it's likely there will be a breakthrough in a significant percentage, it will hit the old too.

The point of vaccinating/boosting everyone is to slow the spread.

Even if only a very small percentage of young people are affected, it's still going to be potentially a very large number in hospital in a short space of time. That will break the NHS for everyone.

What's your solution here Nick, would you just let it rip?
Bit more nuanced.

He’s saying don’t lie and panic people to make them do things otherwise they may not believe you when you do the same again
 

duffer

Well-Known Member
Bit more nuanced.

He’s saying don’t lie and panic people to make them do things otherwise they may not believe you when you do the same again

Fair enough, if that's what you think is being said. What's the lie that's currently being pushed, would you say?
 

Nick

Administrator
Given even with a booster it's likely there will be a breakthrough in a significant percentage, it will hit the old too.

The point of vaccinating/boosting everyone is to slow the spread.

Even if only a very small percentage of young people are affected, it's still going to be potentially a very large number in hospital in a short space of time. That will break the NHS for everyone.

What's your solution here Nick, would you just let it rip?

I don't think the first issue is going to be breaking the NHS. The 10 day isolation for people "if" their symptoms are very mild or even not there is going to break a lot of things first surely? That has to be the first worry.

Then you have things like people who can't afford to not miss work still (same as before). You have people who don't want to miss their Christmas piss up or seeing their families so if they have a sniffle they aren't going to do a test.

IF it turns out that for the vast majority it is just a cold for a day then let it rip.
 

Nick

Administrator
Fair enough, if that's what you think is being said. What's the lie that's currently being pushed, would you say?

There is the one where he was keen to spin that it had killed somebody which he knew would become headline news.
There are also the ones about numbers that just happened to be incorrect.

There needs to be transparency about it all so people can decide, surely?
 

Evo1883

Well-Known Member




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CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
Given even with a booster it's likely there will be a breakthrough in a significant percentage, it will hit the old too.

The point of vaccinating/boosting everyone is to slow the spread.

Even if only a very small percentage of young people are affected, it's still going to be potentially a very large number in hospital in a short space of time. That will break the NHS for everyone.

What's your solution here Nick, would you just let it rip?

I agree with pretty much all your posts recently Duffer but I still think there’s too many unknowns to suggest that without restrictions/slowing the spread it will break the nhs. The forecasts at the moment aren’t really worth the paper their written on as we really don’t have much of a clue about omicron other than it’s more transmissible. In the summer forecasters were saying post ‘freedom day’ there would be 100k cases per day and 2-3 times more hospitalisations than actually happened

Younger people may not have had boosters but a majority will hopefully have decent immunity from two jabs (as many would’ve had Pfizer and also jabbed more recently) and also natural immunity...obviously assuming omicron doesn’t swerve both. Then there are suggestions that omicron might be milder and younger people are at far reduced risk, even if totally unvaccinated.

I agree with the precautionary measures but talk about NHS being overwhelmed feels premature. I’m not saying it won’t happen or isn’t at risk of it happening (as I say too many unknowns) but this time last year we had 13k with Covid in hospital in England and currently it’s around 6.5k. Also last year there was far less natural immunity and literally no vaccine immunity to protect from severe illness/ hospitalisation.
 
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CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member

He’s a good data analyser but is missing the point. This should be about how many end up seriously ill/in hospital. It’s pretty much established that waning double jab will not stop you getting it but will still hopefully provide some decent protection from severe illness (booster even more so)

Anecdotal but my ex’s mum (70) nearly died from a stroke last year and recently had additional brain surgery so high risk. Had her booster. Caught Covid three weeks ago (only tested after track and trace) no/extremely mild symptoms and wouldn’t have even tested if not contacted
 

Kieranp96

Well-Known Member
Would this be because more have been tested? Hence catching more cases?
The % of test coming back positive is going up also, and tbh they reckon this new variant is making 200k new infrctions per day, so i expect to see like 100/200k cases per day in a few weeks time.
 

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
Would this be because more have been tested? Hence catching more cases?

Decent testing numbers (1.3m) but doesn’t explain jump. No doubt numbers will be above 100k. Just need to hope it doesn’t transmit into severe illness/hospitalisations

On a brighter note, assuming it’s less severe, a lot of the country will secure natural immunity

Edit - 656k boosters yesterday !
 
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Saddlebrains

Well-Known Member
I agree with pretty much all your posts recently Duffer but I still think there’s too many unknowns to suggest that without restrictions/slowing the spread it will break the nhs. The forecasts at the moment aren’t really worth the paper their written on as we really don’t have much of a clue about omicron other than it’s more transmissible. In the summer forecasters were saying post ‘freedom day’ there would be 100k cases per day and 2-3 times more hospitalisations than actually happened

Younger people may not have had boosters but a majority will hopefully have decent immunity from two jabs (as many would’ve had Pfizer and also jabbed more recently) and also natural immunity...obviously assuming omicron doesn’t swerve both. Then there are suggestions that omicron might be milder and younger people are at far reduced risk, even if totally unvaccinated.

I agree with the precautionary measures but talk about NHS being overwhelmed feels premature. I’m not saying it won’t happen or isn’t at risk of it happening (as I say too many unknowns) but this time last year we had 13k with Covid in hospital in England and currently it’s around 6.5k. Also last year there was far less natural immunity and literally no vaccine immunity to protect from severe illness/ hospitalisation.


Stop talking sense people wont like it
 

Marty

Well-Known Member

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
New

She's been saying that for ages and has a book out about it. Although in interviews she has phrased it more that we can’t be certain that it did not emerge from the Wuhan Institute of Virology which I think most people would agree with.

Not sure she's got any actual evidence any more than any of the other experts that have said similar. Defiantly something that needs investigating but we all know China won't cooperate and any evidence will be long gone so is unlikely to be easily proven.
 

Saddlebrains

Well-Known Member
Tell us something we don't know... plenty of red faces on here with this news. Turns out you CAN'T trust the CCP. Who'd have guessed? About time Xinnie the pooh takes responsibility.


I mean.


We all thought that from day one.

My view? Them riots in Hong Kong needed stopping didn't they..........
 

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
Hospitalisations doesn't get released daily. The last update for admissions was on Saturday but already it was up over 10% in a week which can't be a good sign.

Yeah, I keep an eye on PHE Covid inpatients (England only). Currently 6.5k This will be the main figure to keep an eye out for. If (and it’s still an if) we follow SA trend, admissions are staying in for shorter periods due to milder illness which will hopefully help control the steepness of the increase
 

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
Their response since the outbreak indicates it was a lab leak (why delay, obstruct and minimise inspection ?!). They should be on the hook for world reparations !!! Disgraceful

Which other countries have paid reparations for starting a pandemic?
It's not a serious suggestion.

There has been a huge lack of transparency but I doubt they give a fuck.
 

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
Which other countries have paid reparations for starting a pandemic?
It's not a serious suggestion.

There has been a huge lack of transparency but I doubt they give a fuck.

I know they won’t. Never going to happen. It’s not the release of virus that I’ve got an issue with, assuming it was accidental. It was the cover up and then the obstruction of the investigation since which may have hampered our global ability to stop/treat the disease.
 

Marty

Well-Known Member
I know they won’t. Never going to happen. It’s not the release of virus that I’ve got an issue with, assuming it was accidental. It was the cover up and then the obstruction of the investigation since which may have hampered our global ability to stop/treat the disease.

I agree, nuke the cunts.
 

duffer

Well-Known Member
I don't think the first issue is going to be breaking the NHS. The 10 day isolation for people "if" their symptoms are very mild or even not there is going to break a lot of things first surely? That has to be the first worry.

Then you have things like people who can't afford to not miss work still (same as before). You have people who don't want to miss their Christmas piss up or seeing their families so if they have a sniffle they aren't going to do a test.

IF it turns out that for the vast majority it is just a cold for a day then let it rip.

The problem is that if you let it rip now, and then in a few weeks time it turns out that for even a small proportion of those infected it's serious, then that small proportion will be a very large number.

By then of course, it's too late to do anything.

Here's the key point again, as made by EU scientific advisors, as opposed to UK ones (who seem to have lost your trust somewhat):

Data are currently too limited to assess the severity of disease caused by the Omicron VOC in the EU/EEA population with sufficient confidence. However, even if the severity of disease caused by the Omicron VOC is equal to or lower than the severity of the Delta VOC, the increased transmissibility and resulting exponential growth of cases will rapidly outweigh any benefits of a potentially reduced severity.

This is the key point, and it's not just Boris saying it. Link to today's full update is below:

 

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