I think the biggest thing to mention in these is who were the people in a foreign land with all the problems that entails in terms of troops and supplies? Home advantage and a large number of people available for the cause, either willing to fight or at the very least not comply and create difficulties.Is that how this works? I'm not sure it is ..
The United States of America, comfortably the world's greatest military power since WW2 have struggled in Vietnam against farmers , against Somalian guerrillas and against the taliban .
They dont have a shit army
What this war has proven is that Ukraine is just about keeping its head above water , against a country that has sanctions galore placed on them , whilst being backed by every Western Power possible in the process
In a direct war between Russia and Ukraine without western help it's over quite quickly isn't it ?
I'm glad we are helping them but a bit of perspective
It's a massive advantage for Ukraine on home soil and it also seems the Russian soldiers morale has not been great at all in general either. Raw recruits who were told they were on a training exercise etc.I think the biggest thing to mention in these is who were the people in a foreign land with all the problems that entails in terms of troops and supplies? Home advantage and a large number of people available for the cause, either willing to fight or at the very least not comply and create difficulties.
They don’t have a “constant supply of arms from the west” because eventually it’ll stop if the war continues, especially once the cost of living really hits in the west.Yes I think it was around May time.
But that's the thing - they have stopped! They've made little to no progress since.
Ukraine will never surrender either. They have a constant supply of arms from the west, Russia are resorting to tanks and missiles and other equipment that's 60 years old.
The HIMARS have made a MASSIVE difference.
I don't see how Russia can win from here.
They don’t have a “constant supply of arms from the west” because eventually it’ll stop if the war continues, especially once the cost of living really hits in the west.
Well what an intelligent response.
You do realise Biden and co really don’t care about this war - Europe don’t care - and now Johnson has gone we don’t care
How Ukraine War Will Likely Go Rest of 2022, or, Kherson: The Beginning of the End for Russia
It’s possible Ukraine can push Russia out entirely (including from Crimea & the Donbas) in the coming months; here’s how that would most likely go down. If my last piece focused on the “why” Ukraine will win, this one focuses on the “how.” (Russian/Русский перевод) By Brirealcontextnews.com
Hopefully, but Russia is clear that Crimea is now thirs and that Ukraine will take a mighty blow. Who blinks first. East or West. It only takes one trigger happy idiot to send nukes over.Big hit by Ukraine on a Russian Air base in Crimea which is obviously absolutely miles behind the front line. Seems very significant.
Hopefully, but Russia is clear that Crimea is now thirs and that Ukraine will take a mighty blow. Who blinks first. East or West. It only takes one trigger happy idiot to send nukes over.
Russia shot itself In the foot and the sanctions have sent them back to the 1960’s. I’m could have been so different. Russia and more importantly, China need a route out of this current division. We are at loggerheads with them.
so what do we do with China…Educate them in the ways of the west through giving them acces to universities and intellectual property of businesses. Great move if we are talking a free world. I’m not sure China wants things that way?
Isn't this the "mistake" that EU made with Russia? A belief (mainly because it worked for Germany post WW2) that prosperous trade would trump political ambitions, temper aggression and oppression. A belief that everybody really wants liberal democracy and healthy trade is a part of achieving that.so what do we do with China…Educate them in the ways of the west through giving them acces to universities and intellectual property of businesses. Great move if we are talking a free world. I’m not sure China wants things that way?
There's already a large contingent of Chinese students in UK universities and why would they bother with IPR when they flagrantly ignore it constantly with rip-offs.Hopefully, but Russia is clear that Crimea is now thirs and that Ukraine will take a mighty blow. Who blinks first. East or West. It only takes one trigger happy idiot to send nukes over.
Russia shot itself In the foot and the sanctions have sent them back to the 1960’s. I’m could have been so different. Russia and more importantly, China need a route out of this current division. We are at loggerheads with them.
so what do we do with China…Educate them in the ways of the west through giving them acces to universities and intellectual property of businesses. Great move if we are talking a free world. I’m not sure China wants things that way?
Cheap thoughWouldn’t trust China as far as I can throw them TBH. Energy and manufacturing dependence both need looking at, energy is easy enough. Might be that we have to take a cost of living hit and make agreements with friendly nations to ramp up manufacturing again and trade with each other.
Relying on one country, especially an anti democratic one, for large chunks of your economy is never a smart move.
Yep. All of that….what happens when china pulls said students back? WBS goes Kaput.There's already a large contingent of Chinese students in UK universities and why would they bother with IPR when they flagrantly ignore it constantly with rip-offs.
On a bigger scale in terms of collabs between institutions, again you have to be very careful. The Chinese government has influence everywhere in that country, whether volunteered or by coercion, and are constantly looking for means of undermining the security and systems of other nations. They're not interested in working with others, they're interested in imposing their will on them. Not disimilar to us a few centuries back really.
Yep. All of that….what happens when china pulls said students back? WBS goes Kaput.
Massive strike on an airfield in Crimea. Looks like huge losses for the Russians. Lovely stuff.
Do you think he’ll make it that far?Someone is off to siberia
Ukraine hits Russian Wagner mercenary HQ in east
The Luhansk base was targeted after a Russian journalist revealed its location online, Ukraine claims.www.bbc.co.uk
those icy roads can be very skiddyDo you think he’ll make it that far?
Fog of war is strong at the moment so hard to tell for sure, but seem to be making decent progress with the counter. Big ask but if they can retake Kherson before the winter it’ll change the face of the war.
Noticed Putin for the first time called it a “special operation in Donbas” which suggests a maybe reality is creeping in for him.
He's desperate but at the same time he knows cutting the supply is going to cripple western Europe. He wants to see how the west responds given the difficulty he is facing in Ukraine.Fog of war is strong at the moment so hard to tell for sure, but seem to be making decent progress with the counter. Big ask but if they can retake Kherson before the winter it’ll change the face of the war.
Noticed Putin for the first time called it a “special operation in Donbas” which suggests a maybe reality is creeping in for him.
He's desperate but at the same time he knows cutting the supply is going to cripple western Europe. He wants to see how the west responds given the difficulty he is facing in Ukraine.
I wouldn't underestimate Putin . The injured lion backed into a corner will resort to God knows what . If the rest of Europe shows any weekness over the supply of oil he'll exploit it. NOPM to Russian oil I say !
Russia have just stop gas supply to the Nord pipeline so I wouldn’t be so sure
Russia have just stop gas supply to the Nord pipeline so I wouldn’t be so sure
I have a log burner and have amassed absolutely loads of bits of old wood and scraps I've picked up recently. It won't warm the house much beyond the living room and even though it goes against my feelings on the environment I'm determined to use as little gas as possible this winter. Blankets and thick curtains. Putin can get lost.There’s so many moving parts though. If Putin keeps the gas turned off to Europe they lose billions of income as I don’t think they can pipe it elsewhere (although don’t quote me on that). I think oil sales to Asia dropped recently, China who they are relying on are in the shit and Europe is dramatically cutting back.
This winter isn’t going to be pretty for anyone. Putins fucked up and all he can do is try to squeeze Europe with energy and threaten nuclear attacks. I agree with comments that him being backed into a corner is a dangerous prospect though
Germany and France have contributed less than Portugal on a GDP basis. Support comes from mostly the US, Canada, and U.K. with the Eastern EU nations helping out.
If Putin, or you, think making the Germans pay through the nose for gas will stop Ukraine they’re wrong.
And anyway last German polling I saw had 70% support for supporting Ukraine.
Napoleon probably thinks as he runs Europe he needn't contribute much.Good old France
Edit - that might be a bit unfair if additional support via EU isn’t included in their figure.
Good old France
Edit - that might be a bit unfair if additional support via EU isn’t included in their figure.
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