USSR invades Ukraine. (6 Viewers)

SBT

Well-Known Member
Rough day for the foreign policy experts who insist that NATO was responsible for the war in Ukraine when even the head of Wagner is coming out and saying it was all bollocks
"On 24 February [2022] there was nothing extraordinary happening there. Now the Ministry of Defence is trying to deceive the public, deceive the president and tell a story that there was some crazy aggression by Ukraine, that - together with the whole Nato bloc - Ukraine was planning to attack us.”
 

SkyBlue_Bear83

Well-Known Member
All over within 24 hours, feels like this was all a sham to me.

Wouldn't be surprised if this was a scam to see if anybody else would support him.
 

tisza

Well-Known Member
we'll see what the deal actually is
So Wagner troops will sign MOD contracts - whether that is just those in Ukraine or all Wagner personnel unclear. Wagner operatives in large numbers in several African states - as an unofficial arm of Russian foreign policy. What has Prig been offered? Can't just be some flimsy personal security guarantee if he leaves the country.
 

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
So Wagner troops will sign MOD contracts - whether that is just those in Ukraine or all Wagner personnel unclear. Wagner operatives in large numbers in several African states - as an unofficial arm of Russian foreign policy. What has Prig been offered? Can't just be some flimsy personal security guarantee if he leaves the country.

100’s of millions. Putin can afford it
 

tisza

Well-Known Member
And he'll probably be dead within weeks/months anyway.
Or has he been offered Belarus? Lukashenko reportedly seriously ill. Putin basically controls Belarus.
That's a theory among the talking heads here this morning.
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
And he'll probably be dead within weeks/months anyway.
Unlikely, even if the wagner forces are officially going to be state forces they still are very loyal to him so if he dies then they'll rise up again
 

PVA

Well-Known Member
Or has he been offered Belarus? Lukashenko reportedly seriously ill. Putin basically controls Belarus.
That's a theory among the talking heads here this morning.

I did read that too, but I can't see it.

Lukashenko is bad enough, no way the people of Belarus would stand for this nutter being parachuted in as president surely.

Also giving the bloke you tried to overthrow you control of a load of your nukes doesn't seem like a great idea!

I think he will end up 'falling' out of a window or having a bad car 'accident'.

But who knows!
 

PVA

Well-Known Member
Unlikely, even if the wagner forces are officially going to be state forces they still are very loyal to him so if he dies then they'll rise up again

But are they now?

After he promised them a coup, got them on the doorstep of Moscow and then bottled it, resulting in them become part of the army, as you say, on much lower wages.

I don't think there's much loyalty anywhere in Russia.
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
But are they now?

After he promised them a coup, got them on the doorstep of Moscow and then bottled it, resulting in them become part of the army, as you say, on much lower wages.

I don't think there's much loyalty anywhere in Russia.
he didn't promise them a coup
 

tisza

Well-Known Member
Wagner are mercenaries, they get paid more than regular Russian army soldiers.
already a source of discontent with "pre-war" Russian troops as new recruits getting better money/signing bonuses/death insurance than they are. Be interesting to see how many Wagner sign up andcan be integrated into a formal military system
 
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tisza

Well-Known Member
I did read that too, but I can't see it.

Lukashenko is bad enough, no way the people of Belarus would stand for this nutter being parachuted in as president surely.

Also giving the bloke you tried to overthrow you control of a load of your nukes doesn't seem like a great idea!

I think he will end up 'falling' out of a window or having a bad car 'accident'.

But who knows!
The regime is propped up by Russia. Internal dissent doesn't go well - 20/21 protests. Least democratic country in Europe. Whoever the next leader is it will be a Russian choice.
Nuclear control will awlays remain under the Russians - they are not going to give any 3rd party access to them.
 

PVA

Well-Known Member
The regime is propped up by Russia. Internal dissent doesn't go well - 20/21 protests. Least democratic country in Europe. Whoever the next leader is it will be a Russian choice.

Yeah I get that, just don't see it being Prigozhin at all.

It'll be very interesting to see what happens though that's for sure.
 

tisza

Well-Known Member
Yeah I get that, just don't see it being Prigozhin at all.

It'll be very interesting to see what happens though that's for sure.
Not saying it will be but the speculation is that it was the "carrot" used to get him to stop and leave.
 

PVA

Well-Known Member
Not saying it will be but the speculation is that it was the "carrot" used to get him to stop and leave.

Ah, I see 👍🏻

Possibly yes. Of course nobody can trust a word Putin says so I'm sure Prigozhin will spend the rest of his days looking over his shoulder.
 

PVA

Well-Known Member
have you seen the agreed deal? no I take it

I'm going to assume you haven't either.

For your average soldier on the ground the Russian army is worse than Wagner in almost every aspect - leadership, equipment and pay. And with much worse survival odds.
 

duffer

Well-Known Member
FT is reporting that... "Wagner Group leader Yevgeny Prigozhin still faces charges, says Russian state media."

Also that Putin has signed a decree that lets the Russian military recruit prisoners, presumably learning from Wagner on that one.

Hmm. What professional soldier wouldn't want to fight alongside someone who is only there to escape their sentence? Obviously no risk of them legging it or hiding when the going gets tough, or nicking your kit, brawling, or a dozen other things that lower morale and combat effectiveness...

Either way, I think the Prigozhin/Wagner thing might yet come back to life if they arrest him. Interesting times.
 

PVA

Well-Known Member
Unlikely, even if the wagner forces are officially going to be state forces they still are very loyal to him so if he dies then they'll rise up again

But are they now?

After he promised them a coup, got them on the doorstep of Moscow and then bottled it, resulting in them become part of the army, as you say, on much lower wages.

I don't think there's much loyalty anywhere in Russia.


Told you Wagner troops would not be happy with Prighozin!

And Shoigu is remaining in place so didn't get what he wanted anyway.


 
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tisza

Well-Known Member
Told you Wagner troops would not be happy with Prighozin!

And Shoigu is remaining in place so didn't get what he wanted anyway.


Putin finally admits the state funded Wagner - having denied it previously. So when he talks about other countries military help in Ukraine the obvious question remains about the Wagner involvement in 8-10 countries in Africa,Latin America and Asia - propping up various undemocratic regimes.
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
Told you Wagner troops would not be happy with Prighozin!

And Shoigu is remaining in place so didn't get what he wanted anyway.


And a few posts on a social media platform are equal to the views of a much larger group of people.

By that weird logic you could read Grenners and Boosh's posts and say that they are representative of all online Cov fans.
 

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