This is a virus. It is completely indiscriminate as to who it will infect. It appears quite random (what we know so far) as to who it kills.
So to stop people dying from it we need: -
1. Something to fight (cure) it in those infected
2. Something to stop spreading (prevent) it:
a. A vaccine
b. More of what we are doing
Smart arse comments ain't going to help you a jot if it takes a hold on you.
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What are you talking about fella?
It does have a pattern on who it kills.
But as we have already stated you can not make 60 million people stay in for 19 months. What will happen is eventually more and more people will risk breaking the restrictions and eventually they fall apart. People are irrational when it comes to decision making. There's been some good studies into this and it's effect in the 1918 flu pandemic.
At some stage the transmission rate will drop low enough that you can loosen the restrictions. To back this up you then have to be able to implement a comprehensive track and trace program. If the transmission rate gets to high again you then implement the restrictions again.
You then have to take into effect the economic damage that is happening to the economy. Like ot or not there will be trade off offs on this and medical reasoning. The cabinet is already split on this.
It will a decision made based on epidemiology, mental health, physical health, economic and behavioural sciences reasoning.
#mikedrop
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