Do you want to discuss boring politics? (248 Viewers)

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
I think the fact the all the independent observers outside this country blame Brexit and say the U.K. has a unique issue because of the labour market and trade barriers suggests it’s got something to do with Brexit. With Brexit generally I find getting news away from U.K. sources is best for a dispassionate assessment.

I think we have escaped some of the EU inflation brought about by the war, but every source including the BoE puts at least some of the blame on Brexit. I mean it’s pretty basic economics: restrict supply of goods and workers and prices go up 🤷🏻‍♂️

The workforce has 1.2 million less people now than it did before COVID. Yes, Brexit would have had an impact, but certainly not 1.2m people.

Brexit hasn’t caused record numbers of early retirement, for example.

Are European observers truly ‘dispassionate?’ They also have a vested interest in Brexit not going well to avoid France and Italy (potentially others) going the same way.
 

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
Brexit has not delivered what we were told it would, its as simple as that.
No 40 trade deals.
Been awful for agriculture and fishing.
No 350 mil a week for the NHS.
GFA in jeopardy.

In your previous post you cherry picked some quarterly figures but if you look at the UKs performance as a whole since Brexit it's significantly behind other European nations.


Like you, I don't want another referendum so the politicians have to make this work, wont happen with this useless mob and I don't think stay in your lane Starmer has got it in him either though I think he has a rudimentary knowledge of European geography and doesn't think drones get scared off by barking dogs unlike the PM in waiting so I suppose that's something.

I really haven’t cherry picked the data. We’ve outgrown the major EU economies since we left the EU and even outgrown those same economies since the referendum in 2016.

To judge Brexit less than 2 years into it is a bit silly. Of course there’s going to be some short term disruption.


Trade barriers have added a 6% increase in Uk food prices

Food prices have increased by more in the Netherlands and Germany. How is that possible if they’re still in the EU and we’re not?

The UK literally haven’t implemented full import controls to avoid supply chain issues as the economy adapts.

A point to both of you… blaming any/all issues we have as a country on Brexit will have you sounding like those Eurosceptics that blamed everything on the EU.
 

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
At least we have our country back.



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Yeah, and the only half of the border check booths at Dover are manned by the French border police. Apparently we’ve shared our expected volumes with them and yet they’re operating at half capacity.

Again, not to be blamed on Brexit. A more appropriate target would be the French frontier police.
 

stupot07

Well-Known Member
Yeah, and the only half of the border check booths at Dover are manned by the French border police. Apparently we’ve shared our expected volumes with them and yet they’re operating at half capacity.

Again, not to be blamed on Brexit. A more appropriate target would be the French frontier police.
It is a mixture of both. The French have no provided enough resource, but Brexit means that proper checks are required on every single traveller. Dover port are complaining their are working slower than normal, they aren't, they're having to do more checks, stamp every book which will increase the time it takes to process each passenger.

I'd be surprised if the resource was significant less than a normal summer holiday pre brexit. And our current poor relationship with France post Brexit won't help either.

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Deleted member 9744

Guest
Yeah, and the only half of the border check booths at Dover are manned by the French border police. Apparently we’ve shared our expected volumes with them and yet they’re operating at half capacity.

Again, not to be blamed on Brexit. A more appropriate target would be the French frontier police.
Yes let's blame the French for something that wouldn't be an issue if we hadn't left the EU. And of course now we are not in the EU we have considerably reduced our ability to influence what the French do. It's a good job those who voted to leave knew what they were voting for.
 

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
View attachment 25420

The Eurozone as a whole grew a whole 0.1% more than the UK. Which includes higher growth rates in smaller economies with more scope to grow. Meanwhile, we’ve outperformed France, Germany.



This and the European stocks is literally on course to have its worst day since 2008.

We have not outperformed Germany, and the German economy is currently nothing to shout about.

 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
View attachment 25420

The Eurozone as a whole grew a whole 0.1% more than the UK. Which includes higher growth rates in smaller economies with more scope to grow. Meanwhile, we’ve outperformed France, Germany.



This and the European stocks is literally on course to have its worst day since 2008.
Britain has allegedly seen its economy grow for the last 10+ years yet its people are worse off in real terms

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shmmeee

Well-Known Member
The workforce has 1.2 million less people now than it did before COVID. Yes, Brexit would have had an impact, but certainly not 1.2m people.

Brexit hasn’t caused record numbers of early retirement, for example.

Are European observers truly ‘dispassionate?’ They also have a vested interest in Brexit not going well to avoid France and Italy (potentially others) going the same way.

It’s not just European sources, mostly English language so American, Australian and Canadian.

And I doubt it’s fruit pickers and the like who work in the food chain who have suddenly decided to opt for early retirement.

To claim Brexit has had no impact whatsoever on the workforce, despite not so long ago it’s biggest cheerleaders celebrating that fact, is pure denialism. There’s a long way between “everything is Brexit” and “nothing is Brexit”. The consensus from literally everyone who isn’t Patrick Minford and knows about trade and economics is it’s going to damage trade. The idea was we’d get other benefits to outweigh that (“what cost freedom?” And all that)
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
View attachment 25420

The Eurozone as a whole grew a whole 0.1% more than the UK. Which includes higher growth rates in smaller economies with more scope to grow. Meanwhile, we’ve outperformed France, Germany.



This and the European stocks is literally on course to have its worst day since 2008.

Some serious cherry picking here, the damage had already started by Q4 2019. If you zoom out a bit it’s obvious:

6DF8EBCC-620D-4F8C-8761-1F275D52855C.jpeg
 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
I really haven’t cherry picked the data. We’ve outgrown the major EU economies since we left the EU and even outgrown those same economies since the referendum in 2016.

To judge Brexit less than 2 years into it is a bit silly. Of course there’s going to be some short term disruption.



Food prices have increased by more in the Netherlands and Germany. How is that possible if they’re still in the EU and we’re not?

The UK literally haven’t implemented full import controls to avoid supply chain issues as the economy adapts.

A point to both of you… blaming any/all issues we have as a country on Brexit will have you sounding like those Eurosceptics that blamed everything on the EU.
No one is doing that. Fundamentally brexit has negatively impacted our economy and will continue to do so
 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
Thank god we avoided having a Foreign Secretary who hasn’t got a clue what’s going on.
Classic whataboutery from all of them. Our country is going to hell because we don’t value intelligence and considered debate and although everyone is entitled to an opinion they are not all equal and valid
 
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SkyBlueSoul

Well-Known Member
Classic whataboutery from all of them. Our country is going to hell because we don’t value intelligence and considered debate and although everyone is entitled to an opinion they are not all equal and valid
Although obviously not about our government etc, this video always comes to my mind when talking about how it's not necessarily the most intelligent people making the decisions on behalf of everyone. The moment of realisation on his face at the end...

 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
Although obviously not about our government etc, this video always comes to my mind when talking about how it's not necessarily the most intelligent people making the decisions on behalf of everyone. The moment of realisation on his face at the end...


Yeah sure I agree. It’s not really intelligence it’s the gove comment about we don’t need experts anymore - twat!!

Don’t need a brain surgeon get your mate down the pub
It’s such a crock of shit
 

duffer

Well-Known Member
View attachment 25420

The Eurozone as a whole grew a whole 0.1% more than the UK. Which includes higher growth rates in smaller economies with more scope to grow. Meanwhile, we’ve outperformed France, Germany.



This and the European stocks is literally on course to have its worst day since 2008.

I'm sorry, but it simply isn't true to say that we've grown faster than Europe since Brexit. There is literally no evidence to support that statement.

There might be some positives around Brexit (though neither I nor the minister in charge of finding them seem to be able to identify any), but economically it would seem that choosing to cut ourselves out of probably the largest trading bloc on the planet has not been a resounding success.

Who could have seen that coming, eh.


 
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CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
Wrong thread everyone !…oh and is Tony ok ? I’m a bit unnerved there’s a Brexit discussion going on and he’s not involved. (sorry, couldn’t resist 😊).

A couple of comments. Nearly all the current economic issues are global and although Brexit hasn’t helped (and would definitely have had a negative impact on GDP), it is a relatively minor part in the grand scheme of things. Also, people should keep a close eye on what’s happening in the Eurozone/EU in the coming months. There are some fundamental issues with a close economic/political union across very different economies and cultures and these get tested in tough times. I honestly think this could be as critical a period as any in recent times for the bloc

That being said, the government has no doubt fucked up some things post Brexit with an overly aggressive ‘ERG’ approach. I’d hoped that post Johnson the relationship with the EU could be repaired and many of the issues resolved, or at least significantly improved…unfortunately we now have the likelihood of Truss with the old ERG gang in tow
 

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
Wrong thread everyone !…oh and is Tony ok ? I’m a bit unnerved there’s a Brexit discussion going on and he’s not involved. (sorry, couldn’t resist 😊).

A couple of comments. Nearly all the current economic issues are global and although Brexit hasn’t helped (and would definitely have had a negative impact on GDP), it is a relatively minor part in the grand scheme of things. Also, people should keep a close eye on what’s happening in the Eurozone/EU in the coming months. There are some fundamental issues with a close economic/political union across very different economies and cultures and these get tested in tough times. I honestly think this could be as critical a period as any in recent times for the bloc

That being said, the government has no doubt fucked up some things post Brexit with an overly aggressive ‘ERG’ approach. I’d hoped that post Johnson the relationship with the EU could be repaired and many of the issues resolved, or at least significantly improved…unfortunately we now have the likelihood of Truss with the old ERG gang in tow

Speak for ourselves
 

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
Appreciate we’ve got our own problems, but at least we’ve only got ours to worry about…to some extent

Well the Union remains as precarious as ever with a good number of Brexiteers surprisingly casual about potentially causing the break up of the country. More may leave the EU but it has never been and will never be a nation state.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
View attachment 25423

We’ll tip into recession, and screw the homeowners, but by god we are going to get these tax cuts done somehow.

People are whining about house prices needing to be re-balanced so they should sort that out
 

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